Tuesday, October 4, 2016
Predicting The Millers, The Swift Temperature And A Good Winter Fly
NOTE: THE SWIFT WAS STOCKED IN ALL THE USUAL PLACES ON 10/3/16
Fishing experts, in my experience, fall into two camps. The first are those who explain what works and fails in great detail - but only afterwards. The second are masters of the selective prediction, able to describe in excruciating detail why a fish will be at a certain place and what fly and technique will take fish, predictions that are spot-on about one time out of 10, at which point they'll say "See, I told you so!" Both techniques are used by stockbrokers, sports bettors, weather forecasters, medical practitioners, tabloid psychics and others. We experts are a large and proud lot; we're just not trustworthy.- Tim May
As I write this the Millers is flowing at 112 cfs in Erving and about 70 cfs in the Bears Den (South Royalston). It appears that the Millers watershed got some much needed relief from this drizzly weekend which MAY be enough for a stocking this week (or maybe not). We have a stretch of dry weather coming up until this next weekend where we are expecting 3/4 of an inch. Hopefully that will put us over the top in time for the Columbus Day end-of-the-Fall-stocking.
There has been talk of the higher than normal water temperatures on the Swift. All Summer long the Swift ran between 55 and 60 degrees. Then on 9/24 it spiked to 69 degrees. This was most likely due to the start of the seasonal "turnover" in Quabbin where warm surface water begins to mix with cool water from below. Add in a VERY windy 9/24, 9/25 and the mix was in!! Things are beginning to adjust as the temp yesterday was 66 degrees. It should keep coming down. It hasn't stopped the trout from providing sport or the BWO from hatching in mass!!
BTW, I looked over my blog entries from last October and noticed that the brookie spawning run was already underway. We are definitely behind last year at this time. Maybe it's the water temperature or maybe it's the higher flows. I'm concerned about the flows because the massive spawning activity we've seen in the last five years has been in approximately 50 cfs flows and not 120 cfs that we have now. Time will tell
The Swift Serendipity was cobbled together about 10 years ago when I took a well known fly and ditched the deer hair wing and replaced it with turkey flats to get it to sink quicker. I changed the body to a material that I use on my Partridge and Orange soft hackles to give it that waxy appearance when wet. It makes all the difference! It's also a fly that really shines in the Fall and Winter but seems to be just so-so during the Spring and Summer. Sizes 18 through 22 do the trick. I've just tied a dozen which should hold us for a while.
Do a RAIN DANCE!!!
Posted by Millers River Flyfisher at 5:38 AM
Labels: guided fly fishing trips on the Swift River, guided fly fishing trips on th East Branch of the Westfield River, Guided fly fishing trips on the Miller River